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Jarrett Stidham TD Passes
Player Prop Week 17

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers

Jarrett Stidham TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+215/-280).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -220 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -280.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Denver Broncos will be forced to use backup QB Jarrett Stidham in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

The Los Angeles Chargers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (37.7 per game) this year.

The Denver offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.

This year, the anemic Los Angeles Chargers defense has been gouged for a monstrous 1.67 TDs through the air per game to opposing teams: the 6th-highest rate in football.

As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Los Angeles's LB corps has been terrible this year, projecting as the 8th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Broncos, who are favored by 3.5 points.

The leading projections forecast the Broncos as the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 50.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see just 127.5 offensive plays run: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.

The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Denver Broncos this year (only 54.2 per game on average).

In this week's contest, Jarrett Stidham is expected by the projection model to total the 6th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 30.2.

More Jarrett Stidham Player Props

Jarrett Stidham TD PassesPlayer Prop Week 17

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers

Jarrett Stidham TD Passes
Player Prop Week 17