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Jarrett Stidham

Jarrett Stidham Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 21

Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Jarrett Stidham Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 209.5 (-125/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 184.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 209.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Broncos may throw the ball less in this contest (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling with backup QB Jarrett Stidham.
  • The Broncos are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to be the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 62.2% pass rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Broncos grades out as the 2nd-best in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.1 pass attempts per game against the Patriots defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
  • Opposing offenses have thrown for the 10th-fewest yards in the league (just 189.0 adjusted yards per game) vs. the New England Patriots defense this year.
  • As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, New England's LB corps has been outstanding this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the NFL.

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