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Jarrett Stidham

Jarrett Stidham Carries
Player Prop Week 21

Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Jarrett Stidham Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+154/-198).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +182 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +154.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • While Jarrett Stidham has garnered 0.0% of his offense's carries in games he has played since the start of last season, the predictive model expects him to be a much bigger part of Denver's rushing attack in this week's game at 16.7%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Broncos may throw the ball less in this contest (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling with backup QB Jarrett Stidham.
  • The Broncos are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The model projects the Denver Broncos to be the 2nd-least run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 40.1% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, New England's unit has been excellent this year, ranking as the best in the league.

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