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Jared Goff Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1600/-2600).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -2300 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -2600.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.Jared Goff's passing accuracy has gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 72.0% to 75.4%.Jared Goff has been among the top TD throwers in the NFL this year, averaging a remarkable 1.88 per game while ranking in the 85th percentile.The running touchdown column reads "0" on Jared Goff's box scores this year.The opposing side have rushed for the 10th-fewest touchdowns in football (0.71 per game) against the Vikings defense this year.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Lions are a heavy 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to pass on 54.6% of their chances: the 4th-lowest rate among all teams this week.Right now, the 6th-most run-focused team in the NFL near the goal line (47.2% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Lions.At the moment, the most sluggish paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Detroit Lions.In this contest, Jared Goff is projected by the projections to total the 8th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 33.3.
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