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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Jared Goff Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1400/-2500).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +1500 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +1400.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Jared Goff's 77.3% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a noteworthy boost in his passing accuracy over last season's 72.0% mark.

With an impressive ratio of 2.00 per game (97th percentile), Jared Goff ranks among the top touchdown throwers in the NFL this year.

With a dreadful rate of only 0.00 rushing touchdowns per game (2nd percentile), Jared Goff ranks as one of the bottom rushing QBs in the NFL this year.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has yielded the 6th-most TDs through the air in the league: 1.67 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 6 points.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to pass on 57.1% of their plays: the 6th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Lions to be the 6th-most run-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 47.1% red zone run rate.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 124.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the importance it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Detroit Lions ranks as the worst in the league this year.

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