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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Cincinnati Bengals vs Detroit Lions

Jared Goff Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1000/-5250).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +1150 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +1000.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing teams have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game against the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 8th-most in the league.

Jared Goff's passing accuracy has gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 72.0% to 76.1%.

Jared Goff has been among the best touchdown passers in the league this year, averaging an exceptional 1.80 per game while ranking in the 93rd percentile.

The rushing touchdown column reads "0" on the back of Jared Goff's trading card this year.

The Bengals defense has been torched for the 5th-most passing touchdowns in the league: 2.00 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Lions, who are a massive favorite by 10 points.

Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to be the 3rd-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Lions to be the 10th-most run-centric team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 45.5% red zone run rate.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

In this week's contest, Jared Goff is predicted by the model to wind up with the 7th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 32.3.

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