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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Detroit Lions vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Jared Goff Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+920/-2500).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -6000 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -2500.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Detroit Lions to run the 2nd-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
  • Jared Goff has been one of the most accurate QBs in the league this year with a remarkable 70.3% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 94th percentile.
  • With an excellent rate of 1.91 per game (95th percentile), Jared Goff has been as one of the top touchdown passers in the league this year.
  • Jared Goff has run for 0.00 TDs per game on the ground this year, one of the lowest figures in the NFL among quarterbacks (3rd percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Lions being an enormous 13-point favorite in this week's game.
  • The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to be the 10th-most run-oriented team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 46.4% red zone run rate.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Lions ranks as the 8th-worst in the league this year.
  • Opposing squads have run for the 2nd-most TDs in the NFL (1.36 per game) against the Giants defense this year.
  • The Giants safeties profile as the 32nd-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

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