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Jared Goff TD Passes
Player Prop Week 9

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings

Jared Goff TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-213/+160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -182 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -213.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Jared Goff's passing accuracy has gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 72.0% to 75.4%.

Jared Goff has been among the top TD throwers in the NFL this year, averaging a remarkable 1.88 per game while ranking in the 85th percentile.

When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Minnesota's unit has been awful this year, ranking as the 4th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Lions are a heavy 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to pass on 54.6% of their chances: the 4th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

At the moment, the 5th-least pass-centric offense in football near the goal line (52.8% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Lions.

At the moment, the most sluggish paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Detroit Lions.

In this contest, Jared Goff is projected by the projections to total the 8th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 33.3.

More Jared Goff Player Props

Jared Goff TD PassesPlayer Prop Week 9

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings

Jared Goff TD Passes
Player Prop Week 9