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Jared Goff

Jared Goff TD Passes
Player Prop Week 6

Kansas City Chiefs vs Detroit Lions

Jared Goff TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-170/+135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jared Goff's throwing precision has improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 72.0% to 76.7%.

Jared Goff has been among the best TD throwers in the league this year, averaging a fantastic 2.00 per game while grading out in the 100th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 6th-least pass-heavy team in the league near the goal line (53.5% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Detroit Lions.

At the moment, the most sluggish paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Lions.

Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Chiefs, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 26.2 per game) this year.

When talking about pocket protection (and the impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Lions profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.

This year, the strong Chiefs defense has given up a measly 0.80 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing teams: the 2nd-lowest rate in football.

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