My Account Log Out

reorder

Jared Goff

Jared Goff TD Passes
Player Prop Week 2

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

Jared Goff TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-124/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -124.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 9th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the end zone (57.4% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Lions.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Jared Goff's throwing accuracy has gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 72.0% to 82.4%.

With a remarkable rate of 2.11 per game (93rd percentile), Jared Goff places among the top TD throwers in football since the start of last season.

When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Chicago's collection of LBs has been atrocious since the start of last season, projecting as the 8th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Lions are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.

The model projects the Lions to be the 11th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 57.0% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

At the present time, the 5th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Detroit Lions.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.9 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense since the start of last season: 6th-fewest in the league.

Since the start of last season, the tough Bears defense has conceded a puny 1.06 TDs through the air per game to opposing quarterbacks: the smallest rate in the NFL.

More Jared Goff Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™