My Account Log Out
 
 
Jared Goff

Jared Goff TD Passes
Player Prop Week 18

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jared Goff TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-138/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -138.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Lions being an enormous -10.5-point underdog this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions as the 7th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 60.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 135.3 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • In this week's contest, Jared Goff is projected by the projections to wind up with the 2nd-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 38.0.
  • With an impressive rate of 1.94 per game (95th percentile), Jared Goff has been as one of the leading touchdown throwers in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense this year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.
  • The Lions offensive line grades out as the 8th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • Jared Goff's passing accuracy has worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 72.0% to 67.4%.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™