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Jared Goff TD Passes
Player Prop Week 17

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

Jared Goff TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Lions are expected by the model to run 66.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.

This week, Jared Goff is expected by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 7th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 36.2.

Jared Goff has been one of the top TD passers in the NFL this year, averaging an impressive 2.00 per game while ranking in the 97th percentile.

The Minnesota Vikings linebackers profile as the 10th-worst collection of LBs in football this year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Lions are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.

Opposing offenses have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game versus the Vikings defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

The Lions O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

Jared Goff's 67.9% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a significant reduction in his passing precision over last year's 72.0% mark.

This year, the stout Vikings defense has surrendered a puny 67.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 9th-lowest rate in the league.

More Jared Goff Player Props

Jared Goff TD PassesPlayer Prop Week 17

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

Jared Goff TD Passes
Player Prop Week 17