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Jared Goff

Jared Goff TD Passes
Player Prop Week 13

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Jared Goff TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-148/+125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Lions to pass on 60.8% of their downs: the 8th-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the Lions to call the 5th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.8 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.
  • The predictive model expects Jared Goff to throw 37.8 passes in this week's game, on average: the 3rd-most among all QBs.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 6th-most in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Lions rank as the 5th-least pass-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 44.5% red zone pass rate.
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the influence it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Detroit Lions ranks as the 8th-worst in the league this year.
  • This year, the stout Green Bay Packers defense has given up a measly 1.30 TDs through the air per game to opposing offenses: the 9th-lowest rate in the NFL.
  • When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Green Bay's collection of safeties has been outstanding this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.

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