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Jared Goff TD Passes
Player Prop Week 12

Detroit Lions vs New York Giants

Jared Goff TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-190/+140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +160 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Detroit Lions to run the 3rd-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

Jared Goff has been one of the most accurate QBs in the league this year with a remarkable 70.3% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 94th percentile.

With an excellent rate of 1.91 per game (95th percentile), Jared Goff has been as one of the top touchdown passers in the league this year.

The Giants defense has conceded the 10th-most touchdowns through the air in the NFL: 1.73 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Lions being an enormous 14-point favorite in this week's game.

The model projects the Detroit Lions as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The model projects the Lions to be the 10th-least pass-centric team in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 53.6% red zone pass rate.

When talking about pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Lions ranks as the 8th-worst in the league this year.

More Jared Goff Player Props

Jared Goff TD PassesPlayer Prop Week 12

Detroit Lions vs New York Giants

Jared Goff TD Passes
Player Prop Week 12