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Jared Goff

Jared Goff TD Passes
Player Prop Week 11

Philadelphia Eagles vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jared Goff TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With an exceptional 74.2% Adjusted Completion% (100th percentile) this year, Jared Goff stands as one of the most on-target quarterbacks in the NFL.
  • Jared Goff has been among the leading touchdown throwers in the NFL this year, averaging a remarkable 2.00 per game while ranking in the 95th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the goal line (53.5% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Detroit Lions.
  • The projections expect the Lions to run the 5th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • This year, the formidable Eagles defense has allowed a measly 66.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 4th-smallest rate in football.
  • The Eagles defense has given up the 2nd-fewest passing TDs in the NFL: 0.89 per game this year.

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