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Jared Goff

Jared Goff TD Passes
Player Prop Week 10

Washington Commanders vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jared Goff TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+140/-180).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a fantastic 73.9% Adjusted Completion% (97th percentile) this year, Jared Goff ranks as one of the best precision passers in football.
  • Jared Goff has been one of the top TD throwers in football this year, averaging an excellent 1.70 per game while ranking in the 90th percentile.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 8th-highest level in the NFL versus the Commanders defense this year (74.2% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The Washington Commanders defense has conceded the 5th-most passing TDs in the league: 2.11 per game this year.
  • The Commanders cornerbacks project as the worst CB corps in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Lions, who are overwhelmingly favored by 8 points.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions as the 6th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect the Detroit Lions to be the 7th-least pass-focused team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 52.8% red zone pass rate.
  • At the moment, the 3rd-slowest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Detroit Lions.
  • The projections expect Jared Goff to throw 32.3 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 8th-fewest among all quarterbacks.

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