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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Cincinnati Bengals vs Detroit Lions

Jared Goff Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-152/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +130 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Lions, who are a massive favorite by 10 points.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Detroit Lions to run on 46.9% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest frequency among all teams this week.

This year, the porous Cincinnati Bengals run defense has yielded a monstrous 140.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 6th-worst in football.

The Bengals linebackers profile as the 5th-worst unit in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

In this contest, Jared Goff is predicted by the predictive model to accrue the 2nd-fewest rush attempts out of all quarterbacks with 1.8.

Making up a lowly 4.1% of his offense's rush attempts this year (19th percentile among quarterbacks), Jared Goff's immobility makes him no threat in the run game.

Jared Goff has grinded out a mere 2.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the lowest figures in the league among quarterbacks (15th percentile).

With a lousy total of 0.97 yards-after-contact (17th percentile), Jared Goff places among the weakest running QBs in the league since the start of last season.

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