My Account Log Out
 
 
Jared Goff

Jared Goff Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jared Goff Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+140/-190).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Lions are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Lions are expected by the model to run 66.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • Jared Goff's ground effectiveness has been refined this year, totaling 6.25 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a measly 3.58 figure last year.
  • This year, the shaky Minnesota Vikings run defense has given up a massive 129.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 9th-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Lions to run on 41.9% of their chances: the 11th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
  • In this week's contest, Jared Goff is forecasted by our trusted projection set to garner the 2nd-fewest rush attempts out of all QBs with 1.7.
  • Accounting for a lowly 2.3% of his team's rushing play calls this year (3rd percentile among QBs), Jared Goff's immobility makes him no threat in the run game.
  • Jared Goff has picked up a measly 3.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the smallest figures in the league among quarterbacks (8th percentile).

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™