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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Detroit Lions vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Jared Goff Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+140/-170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +146 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 7.5-point advantage, the Lions are a massive favorite this week, indicating much more of a focus on running than their usual approach.
  • The Lions have been the 10th-most run-centric offense in football (adjusted for context) this year with a 42.0% run rate.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are projected by the projections to run 67.1 total plays in this contest: the 4th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • Jared Goff's 6.24 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season signifies a substantial boost in his rushing prowess over last season's 3.58 mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The leading projections forecast Jared Goff to garner 1.6 carries in this week's game, on average: the 2nd-fewest among all QBs.
  • Taking on a lowly 2.4% of his offense's carries this year (5th percentile when it comes to QBs), Jared Goff's lack of mobility makes him no threat with his legs.
  • With a lousy total of 3.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (10th percentile), Jared Goff places among the weakest rushing QBs in the NFL this year.
  • As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Pittsburgh's collection of DEs has been fantastic this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.

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