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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Detroit Lions vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Jared Goff Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+120/-144).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +118 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Lions are favored this week, suggesting more of a focus on running than their standard game plan.
  • At the moment, the 9th-most run-focused team in the league (41.4% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Lions.
  • The leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to call the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.8 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • Jared Goff's 6.20 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season represents a substantial boost in his rushing proficiency over last season's 3.58 rate.
  • The Cowboys defense owns the 4th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, allowing 5.12 adjusted yards-per-carry.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The predictive model expects Jared Goff to earn 1.8 rush attempts in this game, on average: the 3rd-fewest among all QBs.
  • Jared Goff is not a mobile QB and has accounted for a lowly 2.7% of his offense's rushing play calls this year, ranking him in the 7th percentile among quarterbacks.
  • Jared Goff has averaged a measly 4.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the smallest figures in football when it comes to quarterbacks (11th percentile).

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