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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Jared Goff Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+156/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -180 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -170.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Lions are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.
  • The leading projections forecast the Lions to call the 5th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Lions to run on 39.2% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.
  • This week, Jared Goff is projected by our trusted projection set to earn the 2nd-fewest rush attempts among all QBs with 1.7.
  • Comprising a measly 2.7% of his offense's rushing play calls this year (3rd percentile among QBs), Jared Goff's lack of speed makes him no threat as a ball-carrier.
  • Jared Goff has grinded out a mere 2.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the smallest figures in the NFL when it comes to QBs (6th percentile).

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