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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions

Jared Goff Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-124/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -124.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 6th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Lions last year (a staggering 59.6 per game on average).

The Detroit Lions have played in the most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL last year, which ought to result in reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game performance when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Detroit Lions to run on 41.0% of their downs: the 10th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The projections expect Jared Goff to notch 1.8 rush attempts in this game, on balance: the 7th-fewest out of all QBs.

Jared Goff is not a mobile quarterback and has accounted for a lowly 3.8% of his team's rushing play calls last year, ranking him in the 13th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.

Jared Goff has picked up a measly 4.0 adjusted rushing yards per game last year, one of the lowest figures in the league among quarterbacks (18th percentile).

More Jared Goff Player Props

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