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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills

Jared Goff Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-116/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Lions to call the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Jared Goff to be a more integral piece of his team's running game this week (6.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (0.8% in games he has played).

The Detroit Lions offensive line profiles as the best in football this year in run blocking.

The Detroit Lions have elected to go for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in the NFL), which usually means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Lions are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 7th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 36.6% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects Jared Goff to total 1.5 carries this week, on average: the 3rd-least of all QBs.

Jared Goff has averaged a measly 4.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the smallest figures in the league among quarterbacks (14th percentile).

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