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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Jared Goff Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 240.5 (-114/-117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 238.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 240.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Jared Goff's passing accuracy has gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 72.0% to 75.4%.
  • Jared Goff has been one of the most efficient passers in the league this year, averaging a stellar 8.35 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the 94th percentile.
  • This year, the shaky Minnesota Vikings defense has been gouged for the 8th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing teams: a staggering 8.15 yards.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Minnesota's unit has been awful this year, ranking as the 4th-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Lions are a heavy 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to pass on 54.6% of their chances: the 4th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • At the moment, the most sluggish paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Detroit Lions.
  • In this contest, Jared Goff is projected by the projections to total the 8th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 33.3.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 27.6 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

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