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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Cincinnati Bengals vs Detroit Lions

Jared Goff Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 237.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 227.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 237.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing teams have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game against the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 8th-most in the league.

Jared Goff's passing accuracy has gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 72.0% to 76.1%.

Opposing teams have thrown for the 2nd-most adjusted yards in the NFL (291.0 per game) vs. the Bengals defense this year.

This year, the deficient Bengals defense has been torched for the 9th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing squads: a staggering 7.98 yards.

When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Cincinnati's LB corps has been dreadful this year, projecting as the 8th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Lions, who are a massive favorite by 10 points.

Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to be the 3rd-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

In this week's contest, Jared Goff is predicted by the model to wind up with the 7th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 32.3.

Jared Goff's 190.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season illustrates a meaningful decrease in his throwing talent over last season's 266.0 figure.

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