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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Baltimore Ravens vs Detroit Lions

Jared Goff Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 260.5 (-107/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 264.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 260.5 @ +106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Lions are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions as the 7th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 60.4% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The 6th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Lions since the start of last season (a massive 59.3 per game on average).

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The model projects Jared Goff to throw 36.2 passes in this game, on average: the 6th-most out of all quarterbacks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Lions to run the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Lions have played in the most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to mean lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense results when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.

The Ravens defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.09 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

The Baltimore Ravens safeties rank as the 4th-best group of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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