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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

Jared Goff Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 240.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 249.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 240.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

With a stellar tally of 265.0 adjusted passing yards per game (95th percentile), Jared Goff places as one of the leading passers in the league since the start of last season.

Jared Goff's throwing accuracy has gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 72.0% to 82.4%.

With an exceptional 8.26 adjusted yards-per-target (94th percentile) since the start of last season, Jared Goff stands as one of the most effective QBs in football.

The Bears pass defense has shown bad efficiency since the start of last season, surrendering 8.37 adjusted yards-per-target: the 3rd-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Lions are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.

The model projects the Lions to be the 11th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 57.0% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

At the present time, the 5th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Detroit Lions.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.9 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense since the start of last season: 6th-fewest in the league.

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