Jared Goff Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

My Account Log Out

reorder

Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Passing Yards

Detroit Lions vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 16, 2025

Updated Dec 22, 2025 12:27 AM EST

Analysis

Jared Goff Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 267.5 (-110/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 264.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 267.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are projected by the projections to run 67.1 total plays in this contest: the 4th-highest number among all teams this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
In this game, Jared Goff is predicted by the model to total the 6th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 36.9.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
With a fantastic total of 244.0 adjusted passing yards per game (95th percentile), Jared Goff has been among the leading quarterbacks in the NFL this year.

Favors Under

With a 7.5-point advantage, the Lions are a massive favorite this week, indicating much more of a focus on running than their usual approach.
The Lions have been the 10th-least pass-centric team in football (context-neutralized) this year with a 58.0% pass rate.
When talking about protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Lions profiles as the 10th-worst in football this year.
Jared Goff's 68.9% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a remarkable regression in his passing accuracy over last year's 72.0% figure.
When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Pittsburgh's CB corps has been excellent this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in football.

More Jared Goff Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow