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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Jared Goff Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 241.5 (-107/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 238.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 241.5 @ -107.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Lions to pass on 60.8% of their downs: the 7th-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the Lions to call the 5th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.
  • The predictive model expects Jared Goff to throw 37.4 passes in this week's game, on average: the 4th-most among all QBs.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 9th-most in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Lions are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.
  • Jared Goff's 233.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season indicates a remarkable reduction in his passing skills over last season's 266.0 figure.
  • This year, the fierce Green Bay Packers defense has yielded a puny 201.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing quarterbacks: the 6th-best in the NFL.
  • The Green Bay Packers pass defense has shown strong efficiency this year, giving up 6.57 adjusted yards-per-target: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
  • When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Green Bay's collection of safeties has been outstanding this year, grading out as the best in football.

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