Jared Goff Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Passing Yards

Detroit Lions vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 5:06 PM EST

Analysis

Jared Goff Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 261.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Jared Goff to attempt 37.1 passes this week, on average: the 9th-most of all QBs.
Jared Goff has been among the top passers in football since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 256.0 yards per game while ranking in the 81st percentile.
Jared Goff has been among the most effective passers in football since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 7.42 yards-per-target while checking in at the 77th percentile.

Favors Under

The Lions are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The Lions have been the 2nd-least pass-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 52.4% pass rate.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in the NFL.
The Detroit Lions offensive line profiles as the 6th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
Jared Goff's passing accuracy has worsened this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 65.1% to 61.8%.

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