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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 3

Baltimore Ravens vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jared Goff Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Lions are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions as the 7th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 60.4% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The 6th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Lions since the start of last season (a massive 59.3 per game on average).
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The model projects Jared Goff to throw 36.2 passes in this game, on average: the 6th-most out of all quarterbacks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Lions to run the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The Lions have played in the most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to mean lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense results when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.

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