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Jared Goff Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+131/-133).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +131 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +131.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are projected by the projections to run 67.1 total plays in this contest: the 4th-highest number among all teams this week.This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.In this game, Jared Goff is predicted by the model to total the 6th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 36.9. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 7.5-point advantage, the Lions are a massive favorite this week, indicating much more of a focus on running than their usual approach.The Lions have been the 10th-least pass-centric team in football (context-neutralized) this year with a 58.0% pass rate.When talking about protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Lions profiles as the 10th-worst in football this year.Jared Goff has racked up just 0.33 interceptions per game this year, grading out in the 87th percentile when it comes to QBs.Pittsburgh's defense profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL this year as it relates to forcing interceptions, notching 0.83 per game.
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