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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Completions
Player Prop Week 6

Kansas City Chiefs vs Detroit Lions

Jared Goff Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jared Goff's throwing precision has improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 72.0% to 76.8%.

This year, the porous Chiefs defense has given up a whopping 73.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 10th-largest rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to be the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 58.5% pass rate.

At the moment, the most sluggish paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Lions.

Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Chiefs, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 31.2 per game) this year.

When talking about pocket protection (and the impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Lions profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.

The Kansas City cornerbacks project as the best collection of CBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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