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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Completions
Player Prop Week 2

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

Jared Goff Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (+106/-136).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -136.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Jared Goff's throwing accuracy has gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 72.0% to 82.4%.

When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Chicago's collection of LBs has been atrocious since the start of last season, projecting as the 8th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Lions are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.

The model projects the Lions to be the 11th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 57.0% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

At the present time, the 5th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Detroit Lions.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.9 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense since the start of last season: 6th-fewest in the league.

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