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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Completions
Player Prop Week 17

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jared Goff Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Lions are expected by the model to run 66.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
  • This week, Jared Goff is expected by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 7th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 36.2.
  • The Minnesota Vikings linebackers profile as the 10th-worst collection of LBs in football this year in covering receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Lions are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game versus the Vikings defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
  • The Lions O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • Jared Goff's 67.9% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a significant reduction in his passing precision over last year's 72.0% mark.
  • This year, the stout Vikings defense has surrendered a puny 67.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 9th-lowest rate in the league.

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