My Account Log Out
 
 
Jared Goff

Jared Goff Completions
Player Prop Week 16

Detroit Lions vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Jared Goff Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-108/-122).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the projections to see 134.9 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • In this game, Jared Goff is predicted by the model to total the 6th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 37.0.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
  • This year, the shaky Steelers defense has been gouged for a monstrous 73.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 8th-worst rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7-point advantage, the Lions are a massive favorite this week, indicating much more of a focus on running than their usual approach.
  • The Lions have been the 10th-least pass-centric team in football (context-neutralized) this year with a 58.0% pass rate.
  • When talking about protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Lions profiles as the 10th-worst in football this year.
  • Jared Goff's 68.9% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a remarkable regression in his passing accuracy over last year's 72.0% figure.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Pittsburgh's CB corps has been excellent this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in football.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™