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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Completions
Player Prop Week 12

Detroit Lions vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Jared Goff Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Detroit Lions to run the 3rd-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
  • Jared Goff has been one of the most accurate QBs in the league this year with a remarkable 70.3% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 94th percentile.
  • The New York cornerbacks grade out as the 4th-worst collection of CBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Lions being an enormous 14-point favorite in this week's game.
  • The model projects the Detroit Lions as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Lions ranks as the 8th-worst in the league this year.

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