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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Completions
Player Prop Week 10

Washington Commanders vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jared Goff Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-111/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a fantastic 73.9% Adjusted Completion% (97th percentile) this year, Jared Goff ranks as one of the best precision passers in football.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 8th-highest level in the NFL versus the Commanders defense this year (74.2% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The Commanders cornerbacks project as the worst CB corps in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Lions, who are overwhelmingly favored by 8 points.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions as the 6th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • At the moment, the 3rd-slowest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Detroit Lions.
  • The projections expect Jared Goff to throw 32.3 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 8th-fewest among all quarterbacks.

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