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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Completions
Player Prop Week 1

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jared Goff Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-138/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -136 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -138.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 6th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Lions last year (a staggering 59.6 per game on average).
  • The projections expect Jared Goff to attempt 35.1 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 9th-most out of all QBs.
  • With an exceptional 72.0% Adjusted Completion% (97th percentile) last year, Jared Goff stands among the most accurate passers in football.
  • Last year, the anemic Green Bay Packers defense has been gouged for a staggering 72.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 10th-worst rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Detroit Lions have played in the most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL last year, which ought to result in reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game performance when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.
  • The Green Bay Packers safeties profile as the 2nd-best safety corps in the NFL last year in defending receivers.

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