Jared Goff Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Completions

Detroit Lions vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 1, 2024

Updated Sep 9, 2024 12:26 AM EST

Analysis

Jared Goff Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-132/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -103 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Lions to run the 4th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The 5th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Lions last year (a colossal 60.4 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The model projects Jared Goff to throw 37.9 passes in this week's game, on average: the 3rd-most among all quarterbacks.
The Los Angeles Rams defense has been a notorious pass funnel last year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (36.2 per game) last year.

Favors Under

This game's line implies a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 3.5 points.
Last year, the daunting Rams defense has yielded a puny 63.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 3rd-smallest rate in the NFL.

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