Jared Goff Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Completions

Detroit Lions vs Denver Broncos · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 12:36 AM UTC

Analysis

Jared Goff Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 60.6 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Jared Goff has attempted 37.6 throws per game this year, ranking in the 84th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.
The Detroit O-line grades out as the 4th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all air attack stats across the board.
This year, the porous Broncos defense has been torched for a massive 72.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 8th-largest rate in football.

Favors Under

The Lions are a 4.5-point favorite this week, indicating a running game script.
The leading projections forecast the Lions to be the 7th-least pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 58.5% pass rate.
The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 124.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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