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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Carries
Player Prop Week 7

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Jared Goff Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 6 points.

The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to be the 4th-most run-focused team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 41.9% run rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 124.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

In this week's game, Jared Goff is forecasted by the projection model to total the fewest carries among all QBs with 2.0.

Jared Goff is more comfortable in the pocket and has accounted for a mere 3.3% of his offense's carries this year, putting him in the 10th percentile among quarterbacks.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties project as the 9th-best group of safeties in football this year in regard to run defense.

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