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JaMycal Hasty

JaMycal Hasty Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
JaMycal Hasty Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+106/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.7% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 42.4 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in the league.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • Jamycal Hasty's ability to generate extra yardage has been refined this season, totaling 6.10 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a mere 4.33 rate last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jaguars are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Jaguars to run the 11th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Jamycal Hasty has put up a meager -2.0 air yards per game this year: just 12th percentile among running backs.
  • Jamycal Hasty's 6.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 13.2.
  • Jamycal Hasty's ball-catching skills have declined this season, with his Completion% falling off from 85.4% to 79.7%.

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