JaMycal Hasty Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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JaMycal Hasty

NFL · Player Props

JaMycal Hasty

RB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 8, 2023 1:16 AM UTC

Analysis

JaMycal Hasty Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+106/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jacksonville Jaguars boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.7% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 42.4 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in the league.
The Jacksonville Jaguars offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
Jamycal Hasty's ability to generate extra yardage has been refined this season, totaling 6.10 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a mere 4.33 rate last season.

Favors Under

The Jaguars are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Jaguars to run the 11th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Jamycal Hasty has put up a meager -2.0 air yards per game this year: just 12th percentile among running backs.
Jamycal Hasty's 6.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 13.2.
Jamycal Hasty's ball-catching skills have declined this season, with his Completion% falling off from 85.4% to 79.7%.

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