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Jamison Crowder

Jamison Crowder Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Washington Commanders

Jamison Crowder Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Commanders are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to have just 128.9 offensive plays called: the lowest number on the slate this week.

The Washington Commanders have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 59.8 plays per game.

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may fall-off.

Opposing offenses have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Commanders to pass on 56.5% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

With a bad 6.5 adjusted yards per target (24th percentile) this year, Jamison Crowder has been as one of the worst wide receivers in the NFL in the league.

This year, the strong Buccaneers pass defense has allowed the 2nd-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing WRs: a mere 3.7 YAC.

The Buccaneers cornerbacks profile as the 6th-best collection of CBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

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