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Jameson Williams

Jameson Williams Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Jameson Williams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+205/-210).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +205 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +205.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The projections expect Jameson Williams to be much more involved in his offense's passing offense near the end zone in this game (10.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (3.1% in games he has played).
  • As it relates to air yards, Jameson Williams ranks in the lofty 75th percentile among WRs this year, averaging a massive 66.0 per game.
  • This year, the deficient Minnesota Vikings defense has been gouged for a colossal 1.00 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing wideouts: the 9th-biggest rate in football.
  • The opposing side have rushed for the 10th-fewest touchdowns in football (0.71 per game) against the Vikings defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Lions are a heavy 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to pass on 54.7% of their chances: the 4th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Right now, the 6th-most run-focused team in the NFL near the goal line (47.2% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Lions.
  • At the moment, the most sluggish paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Detroit Lions.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 27.6 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

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