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Jameson Williams

Jameson Williams Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Jameson Williams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+184/-205).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +188 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +184.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The projections expect Jameson Williams to be a more integral piece of his team's passing game near the end zone this week (12.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (3.2% in games he has played).
  • When it comes to air yards, Jameson Williams ranks in the towering 82nd percentile among wide receivers this year, accruing an impressive 72.0 per game.
  • Jameson Williams's 51.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 78th percentile for wideouts.
  • Jameson Williams grades out in the 75th percentile among wideouts when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a fantastic 0.29 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 6 points.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to pass on 57.1% of their plays: the 6th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Lions to be the 6th-most run-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 47.1% red zone run rate.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 124.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the importance it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Detroit Lions ranks as the worst in the league this year.

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