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Jameson Williams

Jameson Williams Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Kansas City Chiefs vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jameson Williams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+225/-265).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -250 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -265.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect Jameson Williams to be much more involved in his offense's pass game near the end zone in this contest (12.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (3.6% in games he has played).
  • Jameson Williams has totaled significantly more air yards this season (79.0 per game) than he did last season (70.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Lions to be the 6th-most run-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 46.7% red zone run rate.
  • At the moment, the most sluggish paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Lions.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Chiefs, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 31.2 per game) this year.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Lions profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Jameson Williams's 56.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this year illustrates a substantial regression in his pass-catching skills over last year's 65.5% figure.

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