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Jameson Williams

Jameson Williams Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Cincinnati Bengals vs Detroit Lions

Jameson Williams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+194/-240).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing teams have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game against the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 8th-most in the league.

Our trusted projections expect Jameson Williams to be a more integral piece of his team's passing game near the goal line this week (13.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (4.2% in games he has played).

Jameson Williams has accumulated significantly more air yards this year (98.0 per game) than he did last year (70.0 per game).

Jameson Williams's 55.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) ranks among the best in the league: 81st percentile for WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Lions, who are a massive favorite by 10 points.

Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to be the 3rd-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Lions to be the 10th-most run-centric team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 45.5% red zone run rate.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Jameson Williams's 54.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects a noteable decrease in his receiving skills over last season's 65.5% figure.

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