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Jameson Williams

Jameson Williams Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jameson Williams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+184/-220).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Lions are expected by the model to run 66.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
  • While Jameson Williams has garnered 10.0% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more integral piece of Detroit's offense near the end zone in this week's contest at 15.6%.
  • After averaging 70.0 air yards per game last year, Jameson Williams has posted big gains this year, now pacing 83.0 per game.
  • With an excellent rate of 0.44 per game through the air (90th percentile), Jameson Williams rates among the leading receiving TD-scorers in the NFL when it comes to wideouts this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Lions are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game versus the Vikings defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
  • Jameson Williams, who has been given 1.4% of his offense's rush attempts near the end zone this year (91st percentile), finds himself in the unique position (for a wide receiver) of being involved in the Lions red zone run game.
  • The Lions O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • This year, the stout Vikings defense has surrendered a puny 67.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 9th-lowest rate in the league.

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