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Jameson Williams

Jameson Williams Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Detroit Lions vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Jameson Williams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+154/-168).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +148 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +154.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are projected by the projections to run 67.1 total plays in this contest: the 4th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
  • Our trusted projections expect Jameson Williams to be a more integral piece of his offense's passing offense near the goal line in this week's game (17.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (9.4% in games he has played).
  • Jameson Williams has posted significantly more air yards this year (80.0 per game) than he did last year (70.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7.5-point advantage, the Lions are a massive favorite this week, indicating much more of a focus on running than their usual approach.
  • With a 52.2% rate of running the ball in the red zone (in a neutral context) this year, the 5th-most run-centric offense in the league in this regard has been the Lions.
  • Jameson Williams, who has received 1.5% of his team's rush attempts near the end zone this year (91st percentile), finds himself in the unique position (for a wideout) of being involved in the Detroit red zone running game.
  • When talking about protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Lions profiles as the 10th-worst in football this year.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Pittsburgh's CB corps has been excellent this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in football.

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